The New York Times election oracle, Nate Silver, who in his fivethirtyeight blog correctly predicted 49 of 50 states in the last election, predicts that Obama could breeze to victory with a 75 percent chance of winning. Despite his relatively simple method of averaging polls to predict winners, he's become a punching bag for pundits and politicians who label him a fradulent snakeoil salesman.
Tuesday, October 30, 2012
Why Pundits And Politicians Hate NYT Election Forecaster Nate Silver
The New York Times election oracle, Nate Silver, who in his fivethirtyeight blog correctly predicted 49 of 50 states in the last election, predicts that Obama could breeze to victory with a 75 percent chance of winning. Despite his relatively simple method of averaging polls to predict winners, he's become a punching bag for pundits and politicians who label him a fradulent snakeoil salesman.
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